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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

17:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

76%

Bayern München

1.32

13%

Draw

7.85

11%

Bayer Leverkusen

8.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

6.8%

Home win

4 – 1

6.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.38

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.73

1.35

Bayer Leverkusen xG

76%
13%
Bayern MünchenDrawBayer Leverkusen

1.32

76%

Home win

7.85

13%

Draw

8.89

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

85%

Over 2.5

1.18

15%

Under 2.5

6.67

70%

Over 3.5

1.43

30%

Under 3.5

3.33

51%

Over 4.5

1.96

49%

Under 4.5

2.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.40

28%

BTTS No

3.52

Clean Sheet

26%

Bayern München

3.85

3%

Bayer Leverkusen

29.43

Win to Nil

20%

Bayern München

5.06

0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
1 3.0 4.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
2 5.0 6.8 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 5.7 7.7 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 4.8 6.5 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 3.3 4.4 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.382
λ Away (xG) 1.348
Total xG 4.730
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.508
Bayern München attack strength 1.786
Bayern München defence strength 0.665
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.345
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 1.266
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42