Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

70%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.43

18%

Draw

5.69

12%

Werder Bremen

8.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.5%

Home win

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.64

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.71

1.07

Werder Bremen xG

70%
18%
12%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawWerder Bremen

1.43

70%

Home win

5.69

18%

Draw

8.08

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

34%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.91

7%

Werder Bremen

13.96

Win to Nil

24%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.16

1%

Werder Bremen

112.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.5 6.9 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 9.1 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 7.5 8.0 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.636
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 3.705
League avg home goals 1.602
League avg away goals 1.386
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.314
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.785
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.983
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.253
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58