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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 10 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

49%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.04

25%

Draw

4.04

26%

VfB Stuttgart

3.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.33

1.39

VfB Stuttgart xG

49%
25%
26%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfB Stuttgart

2.04

49%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

3.81

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.02

14%

VfB Stuttgart

6.94

Win to Nil

12%

Bayer Leverkusen

8.22

4%

VfB Stuttgart

26.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.0 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.9 9.7 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 4.3 6.0 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.938
λ Away (xG) 1.392
Total xG 3.330
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.457
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.193
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.744
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.284
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49