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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

16:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

48%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.10

23%

Draw

4.27

29%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.08

1.32

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

48%
23%
29%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

2.10

48%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

27%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.76

17%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5.81

Win to Nil

13%

Bayer Leverkusen

7.88

5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

20.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.1 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.1 10.7 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.4 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.2 5.5 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.760
λ Away (xG) 1.324
Total xG 3.084
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.688
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.073
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.881
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.891
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37