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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

50%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.99

25%

Draw

3.94

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

2.98

1.19

Borussia Dortmund xG

50%
25%
24%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund

1.99

50%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

30%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.29

17%

Borussia Dortmund

5.98

Win to Nil

15%

Bayer Leverkusen

6.55

4%

Borussia Dortmund

24.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 6.1 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.1 10.8 6.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.7 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.8 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.788
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.980
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.460
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.105
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.723
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.130
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66