Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.06

22%

Draw

4.57

54%

Bayern München

1.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

0 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.44

2.08

Bayern München xG

25%
22%
54%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern München

4.06

25%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

1.87

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.53

34%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

13%

Bayer Leverkusen

7.98

26%

Bayern München

3.92

Win to Nil

3%

Bayer Leverkusen

32.39

14%

Bayern München

7.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 6.6 6.9 4.8 2.5 1.0
1 4.4 9.1 9.4 6.5 3.4 1.4
2 3.0 6.2 6.4 4.5 2.3 1.0
3 1.4 2.8 2.9 2.0 1.1 0.4
4 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 2.077
Total xG 3.443
League avg home goals 1.708
League avg away goals 1.396
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.086
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.839
Bayern München attack strength 1.774
Bayern München defence strength 0.737
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59