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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

47%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.14

24%

Draw

4.18

29%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.37

1.48

1899 Hoffenheim xG

47%
24%
29%
Bayer LeverkusenDraw1899 Hoffenheim

2.14

47%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

3.39

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

23%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.39

15%

1899 Hoffenheim

6.64

Win to Nil

11%

Bayer Leverkusen

9.41

4%

1899 Hoffenheim

22.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 5.1 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 6.5 9.6 7.1 3.5 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.9 5.7 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.893
λ Away (xG) 1.479
Total xG 3.372
League avg home goals 1.657
League avg away goals 1.510
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.031
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.951
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.029
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.108
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34