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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

16:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

66%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.51

19%

Draw

5.32

15%

1899 Hoffenheim

6.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.31

1.01

1899 Hoffenheim xG

66%
19%
15%
Bayer LeverkusenDraw1899 Hoffenheim

1.51

66%

Home win

5.32

19%

Draw

6.64

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

36%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.75

10%

1899 Hoffenheim

9.99

Win to Nil

24%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.16

2%

1899 Hoffenheim

66.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 3.7 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 8.4 8.5 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 9.8 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.4 7.5 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 4.3 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.302
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 3.314
League avg home goals 1.764
League avg away goals 1.413
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.314
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.887
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.807
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53