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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

18:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

21%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.81

24%

Draw

4.23

56%

VfB Stuttgart

1.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

0 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

3.26

2.05

VfB Stuttgart xG

21%
24%
56%
1899 HoffenheimDrawVfB Stuttgart

4.81

21%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

1.80

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

13%

1899 Hoffenheim

7.77

30%

VfB Stuttgart

3.35

Win to Nil

3%

1899 Hoffenheim

37.33

17%

VfB Stuttgart

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 7.9 8.1 5.5 2.8 1.2
1 4.6 9.5 9.8 6.7 3.4 1.4
2 2.8 5.8 5.9 4.0 2.1 0.8
3 1.1 2.3 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.209
λ Away (xG) 2.050
Total xG 3.259
League avg home goals 1.677
League avg away goals 1.344
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.837
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.457
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.048
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56