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1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 8 Dec 2024

16:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

46%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.17

25%

Draw

3.98

29%

SC Freiburg

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

3.58

1.58

SC Freiburg xG

46%
25%
29%
1899 HoffenheimDrawSC Freiburg

2.17

46%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.38

Clean Sheet

21%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.84

14%

SC Freiburg

7.40

Win to Nil

9%

1899 Hoffenheim

10.53

4%

SC Freiburg

25.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.4 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 5.6 8.8 6.9 3.7 1.4 0.5
2 5.6 8.8 7.0 3.7 1.4 0.5
3 3.7 5.9 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 1.9 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.002
λ Away (xG) 1.577
Total xG 3.579
League avg home goals 1.651
League avg away goals 1.486
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.229
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.399
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.759
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46