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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

55%

1899 Hoffenheim

1.83

23%

Draw

4.37

23%

FSV Mainz 05

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

2.97

1.11

FSV Mainz 05 xG

55%
23%
23%
1899 HoffenheimDrawFSV Mainz 05

1.83

55%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

33%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.04

16%

FSV Mainz 05

6.39

Win to Nil

18%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.57

4%

FSV Mainz 05

28.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.7 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.6 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.5 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.855
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.968
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.393
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.109
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.848
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.943
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61