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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

31%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.19

24%

Draw

4.09

44%

Borussia Dortmund

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

2.90

1.60

Borussia Dortmund xG

31%
24%
44%
1899 HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund

3.19

31%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

20%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.93

27%

Borussia Dortmund

3.70

Win to Nil

6%

1899 Hoffenheim

15.74

12%

Borussia Dortmund

8.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.8 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 7.2 11.4 9.1 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.5 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.0 3.3 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.596
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.449
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.051
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.897
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.229
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.733
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63