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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

16:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

52%

1. FC Köln

1.92

21%

Draw

4.81

27%

VfB Stuttgart

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.21

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.78

1.57

VfB Stuttgart xG

52%
21%
27%
1. FC KölnDrawVfB Stuttgart

1.92

52%

Home win

4.81

21%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.41

Clean Sheet

21%

1. FC Köln

4.81

11%

VfB Stuttgart

9.08

Win to Nil

11%

1. FC Köln

9.25

3%

VfB Stuttgart

33.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 3.6 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
1 5.0 7.9 6.2 3.3 1.3 0.4
2 5.6 8.8 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.4
3 4.1 6.4 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.3
4 2.3 3.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.206
λ Away (xG) 1.571
Total xG 3.777
League avg home goals 1.683
League avg away goals 1.668
1. FC Köln attack strength 1.170
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.041
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.905
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.120
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 38