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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

14:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

48%

1. FC Köln

2.09

23%

Draw

4.28

29%

Union Berlin

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.36

1.45

Union Berlin xG

48%
23%
29%
1. FC KölnDrawUnion Berlin

2.09

48%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

23%

1. FC Köln

4.27

15%

Union Berlin

6.77

Win to Nil

11%

1. FC Köln

8.91

4%

Union Berlin

23.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.0 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 6.6 9.6 7.0 3.4 1.2 0.4
2 6.3 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.0 5.9 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.913
λ Away (xG) 1.451
Total xG 3.364
League avg home goals 1.705
League avg away goals 1.421
1. FC Köln attack strength 1.031
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.248
Union Berlin attack strength 0.818
Union Berlin defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 48