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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

14:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

37%

1. FC Köln

2.67

26%

Draw

3.90

37%

FSV Mainz 05

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.33

1.66

FSV Mainz 05 xG

37%
26%
37%
1. FC KölnDrawFSV Mainz 05

2.67

37%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.03

Clean Sheet

19%

1. FC Köln

5.25

19%

FSV Mainz 05

5.30

Win to Nil

7%

1. FC Köln

14.04

7%

FSV Mainz 05

14.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 6.0 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.4
1 6.0 9.9 8.2 4.6 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.3 6.9 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 2.8 4.6 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.3
4 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 1.658
Total xG 3.326
League avg home goals 1.784
League avg away goals 1.447
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.885
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.204
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.952
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51