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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

28%

1. FC Köln

3.58

27%

Draw

3.71

45%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

2.97

1.68

1899 Hoffenheim xG

28%
27%
45%
1. FC KölnDraw1899 Hoffenheim

3.58

28%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.22

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

19%

1. FC Köln

5.37

28%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.63

Win to Nil

5%

1. FC Köln

19.23

12%

1899 Hoffenheim

8.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 8.6 7.2 4.1 1.7 0.6
1 6.6 11.1 9.3 5.2 2.2 0.7
2 4.3 7.2 6.0 3.4 1.4 0.5
3 1.8 3.1 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 1.681
Total xG 2.970
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.388
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.836
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.091
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.110
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 56