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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Darmstadt 98 Win

54%

SV Darmstadt 98

1.85

26%

Draw

3.86

20%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

SV Darmstadt 98 xG

Total xG

2.88

1.05

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

54%
26%
20%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.85

54%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.96

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

35%

SV Darmstadt 98

2.86

16%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.20

Win to Nil

19%

SV Darmstadt 98

5.31

3%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

30.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.9 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 10.8 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.824
λ Away (xG) 1.052
Total xG 2.876
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.272
SV Darmstadt 98 attack strength 1.037
SV Darmstadt 98 defence strength 0.937
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.883
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.182
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 61