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SSV Ulm 1846 vs Hamburger SV – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

12:00

Venue

Donaustadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

23%

SSV Ulm 1846

4.35

29%

Draw

3.48

48%

Hamburger SV

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

SSV Ulm 1846 xG

Total xG

2.74

1.65

Hamburger SV xG

23%
29%
48%
SSV Ulm 1846DrawHamburger SV

4.35

23%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

19%

SSV Ulm 1846

5.22

34%

Hamburger SV

2.98

Win to Nil

4%

SSV Ulm 1846

22.71

16%

Hamburger SV

6.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 10.6 8.8 4.8 2.0 0.7
1 7.0 11.6 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.8 6.3 5.2 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.4 2.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.092
λ Away (xG) 1.652
Total xG 2.744
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.547
SSV Ulm 1846 attack strength 0.697
SSV Ulm 1846 defence strength 0.930
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.149
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49