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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 25 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

49%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.05

27%

Draw

3.77

25%

SSV Ulm 1846

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

2.76

1.11

SSV Ulm 1846 xG

49%
27%
25%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawSSV Ulm 1846

2.05

49%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.05

19%

SSV Ulm 1846

5.19

Win to Nil

16%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.26

5%

SSV Ulm 1846

20.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.0 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.4 11.6 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.6 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.7 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.647
λ Away (xG) 1.115
Total xG 2.762
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.258
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.050
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.231
SSV Ulm 1846 attack strength 0.720
SSV Ulm 1846 defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30