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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

59%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.69

21%

Draw

4.87

20%

Holstein Kiel

4.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

3.29

1.17

Holstein Kiel xG

59%
21%
20%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawHolstein Kiel

1.69

59%

Home win

4.87

21%

Draw

4.91

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

31%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.23

12%

Holstein Kiel

8.33

Win to Nil

18%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.46

2%

Holstein Kiel

40.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.4 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.9 9.2 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.9 6.9 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.120
λ Away (xG) 1.171
Total xG 3.291
League avg home goals 1.589
League avg away goals 1.202
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.124
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.171
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.832
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.187
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 2