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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

47%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.13

30%

Draw

3.32

23%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

2.38

0.94

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

47%
30%
23%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawFortuna Düsseldorf

2.13

47%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

39%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.55

24%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.21

Win to Nil

18%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.44

5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

18.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 8.7 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 12.5 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 9.0 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.6 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.437
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.375
League avg home goals 1.620
League avg away goals 1.258
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.946
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.180
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.632
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 0.938
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67