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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Home Deluxe Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Paderborn 07 Win

56%

SC Paderborn 07

1.80

24%

Draw

4.21

21%

Holstein Kiel

4.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

SC Paderborn 07 xG

Total xG

3.12

1.14

Holstein Kiel xG

56%
24%
21%
SC Paderborn 07DrawHolstein Kiel

1.80

56%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

4.87

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

32%

SC Paderborn 07

3.14

14%

Holstein Kiel

7.23

Win to Nil

18%

SC Paderborn 07

5.63

3%

Holstein Kiel

35.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.7 10.0 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.978
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 3.121
League avg home goals 1.675
League avg away goals 1.308
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 1.027
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 1.027
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.850
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0