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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Home Deluxe Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Paderborn 07 Win

58%

SC Paderborn 07

1.72

20%

Draw

4.99

22%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

SC Paderborn 07 xG

Total xG

3.52

1.30

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

58%
20%
22%
SC Paderborn 07DrawFortuna Düsseldorf

1.72

58%

Home win

4.99

20%

Draw

4.60

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

27%

SC Paderborn 07

3.67

11%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

9.19

Win to Nil

16%

SC Paderborn 07

6.30

2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

42.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.4 7.0 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.0 3.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.218
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 3.518
League avg home goals 1.577
League avg away goals 1.216
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 1.048
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 1.039
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.029
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.343
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36