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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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1. FC Magdeburg cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Preußen Münster.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

1. FC Magdeburg beat Preußen Münster 1-3 at Preussenstadion, Regular Season - 27, in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Preußen Münster 1.56 xG and 1. FC Magdeburg 1.93 xG, a combined 3.49. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. 1. FC Magdeburg outscored their 1.93 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Preußen Münster attack 0.84 / defence 1.15 against 1. FC Magdeburg attack 1.29 / defence 1.17, drawn from 60/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Preußen Münster 30% | Draw 24% | 1. FC Magdeburg 45%, with 1. FC Magdeburg to win its most likely call at 45%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 68%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 87% and landed. Over 3.5 was 46% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 69% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Preußen Münster 52%, 1. FC Magdeburg 63%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Preußen Münster's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.

1. FC Magdeburg's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Preußen Münster 1.03 PPG, 1. FC Magdeburg 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the 1. FC Magdeburg win broke the near-deadlock. Preußen Münster (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.20 concession average — a leakier day than usual. 1. FC Magdeburg (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.87 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights