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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

12:00

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Darmstadt 98 Win

29%

Holstein Kiel

3.41

25%

Draw

4.06

46%

SV Darmstadt 98

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.83

1.60

SV Darmstadt 98 xG

29%
25%
46%
Holstein KielDrawSV Darmstadt 98

3.41

29%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

20%

Holstein Kiel

4.95

29%

SV Darmstadt 98

3.41

Win to Nil

6%

Holstein Kiel

16.91

14%

SV Darmstadt 98

7.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.5 7.6 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.3 11.6 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 4.5 7.1 5.7 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.8 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.226
λ Away (xG) 1.600
Total xG 2.826
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.327
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.940
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.118
SV Darmstadt 98 attack strength 1.078
SV Darmstadt 98 defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 41