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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

12:00

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

55%

Holstein Kiel

1.81

24%

Draw

4.08

20%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.87

1.04

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

55%
24%
20%
Holstein KielDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.81

55%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

35%

Holstein Kiel

2.82

16%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.27

Win to Nil

20%

Holstein Kiel

5.11

3%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

30.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.9 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 10.8 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.0 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.836
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.873
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.303
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.898
Holstein Kiel defence strength 0.835
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.953
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.432
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 53