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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

42%

Holstein Kiel

2.39

27%

Draw

3.70

31%

Dynamo Dresden

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.46

1.12

Dynamo Dresden xG

42%
27%
31%
Holstein KielDrawDynamo Dresden

2.39

42%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

33%

Holstein Kiel

3.07

26%

Dynamo Dresden

3.83

Win to Nil

14%

Holstein Kiel

7.35

8%

Dynamo Dresden

12.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.5 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.4 12.8 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.343
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.465
League avg home goals 1.414
League avg away goals 1.340
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.750
Holstein Kiel defence strength 0.909
Dynamo Dresden attack strength 0.921
Dynamo Dresden defence strength 1.267
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 16