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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Olympiastadion Berlin

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hertha BSC Win

45%

Hertha BSC

2.24

30%

Draw

3.29

25%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Hertha BSC xG

Total xG

2.32

0.96

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

45%
30%
25%
Hertha BSCDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.24

45%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

38%

Hertha BSC

2.60

26%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.91

Win to Nil

17%

Hertha BSC

5.81

6%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

15.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 9.4 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 12.8 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.7 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 0.956
Total xG 2.319
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.330
Hertha BSC attack strength 0.874
Hertha BSC defence strength 0.996
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.722
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.094
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65