Hannover 96 vs SSV Ulm 1846 – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Hannover 96's attacking strength (1.01x league average) is weighed against SSV Ulm 1846's defensive record (0.94x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.39. Flip it around — SSV Ulm 1846's attack (0.70x) against Hannover 96's defence (0.71x) — and the away total comes out at 0.77.
These ratings are built from 48/14 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-0, at 14.4%. Close behind: 1-1 (13.9%), 0-0 (13.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 41% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Hannover 96 Win
49%
2.03
32%
3.10
18%
5.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.39
Hannover 96 xG
Total xG
2.17
0.77
SSV Ulm 1846 xG
2.03
49%
Home win
3.10
32%
Draw
5.43
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.34
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
46%
2.16
25%
4.03
Win to Nil
23%
4.39
5%
21.85
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.5 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 12.3 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.1 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Hannover 96 vs SSV Ulm 1846?
Our Poisson model rates 1-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.4%.
How many goals are Hannover 96 and SSV Ulm 1846 expected to score?
The model projects 1.39 expected goals for Hannover 96 and 0.77 for SSV Ulm 1846, a combined total of 2.17.
How confident is the prediction model for Hannover 96 vs SSV Ulm 1846?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 49%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.