Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

12:00

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

37%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.67

22%

Draw

4.60

41%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.65

1.87

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

37%
22%
41%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.67

37%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.37

Clean Sheet

15%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6.47

17%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.94

Win to Nil

6%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

17.29

7%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

14.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.9 4.5 2.8 1.3 0.5
1 4.6 8.7 8.1 5.0 2.3 0.9
2 4.1 7.7 7.2 4.5 2.1 0.8
3 2.5 4.6 4.3 2.7 1.2 0.5
4 1.1 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.782
λ Away (xG) 1.867
Total xG 3.649
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.322
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.827
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.210
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.167
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.527
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50