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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

52%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1.93

23%

Draw

4.27

25%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.64

1.48

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

52%
23%
25%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.93

52%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.44

30%

BTTS No

3.30

Clean Sheet

23%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.39

12%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8.65

Win to Nil

12%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.50

3%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

34.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2
1 5.7 8.4 6.2 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.4 6.5 4.8 2.4 0.9 0.3
4 2.4 3.5 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.157
λ Away (xG) 1.480
Total xG 3.637
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.350
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.223
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.243
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.882
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.194
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57