Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

37%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.72

29%

Draw

3.40

34%

Karlsruher SC

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

2.50

1.22

Karlsruher SC xG

37%
29%
34%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawKarlsruher SC

2.72

37%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

30%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.39

28%

Karlsruher SC

3.59

Win to Nil

11%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

9.23

9%

Karlsruher SC

10.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.0 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 12.8 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.7 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.279
λ Away (xG) 1.220
Total xG 2.499
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.222
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.941
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.098
Karlsruher SC attack strength 0.909
Karlsruher SC defence strength 0.957
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37