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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 10 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

45%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.24

25%

Draw

3.99

30%

Holstein Kiel

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.29

1.47

Holstein Kiel xG

45%
25%
30%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel

2.24

45%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

23%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.37

16%

Holstein Kiel

6.12

Win to Nil

10%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

9.80

5%

Holstein Kiel

20.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.5 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 6.8 10.0 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.7 5.5 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.811
λ Away (xG) 1.474
Total xG 3.285
League avg home goals 1.567
League avg away goals 1.303
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.902
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.174
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.963
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.281
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28