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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Schalke 04 Win

22%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.58

27%

Draw

3.77

52%

FC Schalke 04

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

2.32

1.47

FC Schalke 04 xG

22%
27%
52%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawFC Schalke 04

4.58

22%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

23%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.35

43%

FC Schalke 04

2.35

Win to Nil

5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

19.91

22%

FC Schalke 04

4.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 14.4 10.6 5.2 1.9 0.6
1 8.4 12.3 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 3.6 5.2 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.854
λ Away (xG) 1.470
Total xG 2.324
League avg home goals 1.457
League avg away goals 1.278
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.864
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.215
FC Schalke 04 attack strength 0.946
FC Schalke 04 defence strength 0.678
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48