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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

12:00

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

43%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.31

25%

Draw

4.05

32%

FC Schalke 04

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.30

1.52

FC Schalke 04 xG

43%
25%
32%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawFC Schalke 04

2.31

43%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

22%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.55

17%

FC Schalke 04

5.96

Win to Nil

10%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

10.52

5%

FC Schalke 04

18.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.6 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 6.6 10.0 7.6 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.9 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 3.5 5.3 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.785
λ Away (xG) 1.516
Total xG 3.301
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.337
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.111
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.174
FC Schalke 04 attack strength 0.965
FC Schalke 04 defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66