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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

43%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.31

25%

Draw

3.94

31%

Arminia Bielefeld

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

2.74

1.24

Arminia Bielefeld xG

43%
25%
31%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawArminia Bielefeld

2.31

43%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

29%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.46

22%

Arminia Bielefeld

4.48

Win to Nil

12%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.00

7%

Arminia Bielefeld

14.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 9.7 12.0 7.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.499
λ Away (xG) 1.241
Total xG 2.740
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.327
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.852
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.114
Arminia Bielefeld attack strength 0.840
Arminia Bielefeld defence strength 1.228
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 17