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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

36%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.74

27%

Draw

3.75

37%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.08

1.55

1. FC Nürnberg xG

36%
27%
37%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDraw1. FC Nürnberg

2.74

36%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

21%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.69

22%

1. FC Nürnberg

4.65

Win to Nil

8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

12.87

8%

1. FC Nürnberg

12.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 7.1 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.3
1 7.0 10.9 8.4 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.4 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.8 4.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.546
Total xG 3.082
League avg home goals 1.473
League avg away goals 1.246
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.995
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.127
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.102
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64