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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 finished level at 2-2 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 22, in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 xG and SV Darmstadt 98 1.75 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.76 / defence 1.08 against SV Darmstadt 98 attack 1.20 / defence 1.09, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 27% | SV Darmstadt 98 47%, with SV Darmstadt 98 to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 35% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 53%, SV Darmstadt 98 62%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.

SV Darmstadt 98's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.15 PPG, SV Darmstadt 98 1.51 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights