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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Nürnberg share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Eintracht Braunschweig and 1. FC Nürnberg finished level at 1-1 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 28, in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.32 xG and 1. FC Nürnberg 1.34 xG, a combined 2.66. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.78 / defence 1.08 against 1. FC Nürnberg attack 0.94 / defence 1.05, drawn from 61/61 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 35% | Draw 28% | 1. FC Nürnberg 37%, with 1. FC Nürnberg to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 50%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 52%, 1. FC Nürnberg 66%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did.

1. FC Nürnberg's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.11 PPG, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.38 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights