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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant 1. FC Nürnberg run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Eintracht Braunschweig.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

1. FC Nürnberg beat Eintracht Braunschweig 1-4 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 34, in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.62 xG and 1. FC Nürnberg 1.71 xG, a combined 3.33. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. 1. FC Nürnberg outscored their 1.71 projection by 2.3. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.97 / defence 1.11 against 1. FC Nürnberg attack 1.17 / defence 1.13, drawn from 67/67 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 35% | Draw 25% | 1. FC Nürnberg 39%, with 1. FC Nürnberg to win its most likely call at 39%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 65%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 43% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 67% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 52%, 1. FC Nürnberg 66%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did.

1. FC Nürnberg's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.09 PPG, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.27 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the 1. FC Nürnberg win broke the near-deadlock. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.30 concession average — a leakier day than usual. 1. FC Nürnberg (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.45 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 1 against a 1.97 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights