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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

SchücoArena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arminia Bielefeld Win

49%

Arminia Bielefeld

2.03

21%

Draw

4.78

30%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

Arminia Bielefeld xG

Total xG

3.73

1.62

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

49%
21%
30%
Arminia BielefeldDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.03

49%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.39

Clean Sheet

20%

Arminia Bielefeld

5.04

12%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8.29

Win to Nil

10%

Arminia Bielefeld

10.22

4%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

27.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 3.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 5.1 8.2 6.6 3.6 1.4 0.5
2 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.5
3 3.8 6.1 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.3
4 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.115
λ Away (xG) 1.618
Total xG 3.733
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.289
Arminia Bielefeld attack strength 1.144
Arminia Bielefeld defence strength 0.978
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.284
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.364
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 39