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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

54%

1. FC Nürnberg

1.86

24%

Draw

4.11

22%

SSV Ulm 1846

4.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.80

1.04

SSV Ulm 1846 xG

54%
24%
22%
1. FC NürnbergDrawSSV Ulm 1846

1.86

54%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.59

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

35%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.82

17%

SSV Ulm 1846

5.82

Win to Nil

19%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.24

4%

SSV Ulm 1846

26.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.3 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.7 11.1 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.5 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.761
λ Away (xG) 1.038
Total xG 2.799
League avg home goals 1.464
League avg away goals 1.489
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.069
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.876
SSV Ulm 1846 attack strength 0.796
SSV Ulm 1846 defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 21