Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

48%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.09

26%

Draw

3.82

26%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.84

1.18

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

48%
26%
26%
1. FC NürnbergDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.09

48%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

31%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.24

19%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.30

Win to Nil

15%

1. FC Nürnberg

6.76

5%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

20.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.8 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.7 11.4 6.7 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.5 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.5 5.3 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.843
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.279
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.029
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.958
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.959
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.113
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59