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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

17:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Paderborn 07 Win

34%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.98

27%

Draw

3.76

40%

SC Paderborn 07

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.56

1.35

SC Paderborn 07 xG

34%
27%
40%
1. FC NürnbergDrawSC Paderborn 07

2.98

34%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

26%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.84

30%

SC Paderborn 07

3.35

Win to Nil

9%

1. FC Nürnberg

11.47

12%

SC Paderborn 07

8.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 10.4 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 9.4 12.6 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.7 7.6 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.556
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.215
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.874
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.084
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 1.022
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 0.934
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37