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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

36%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.75

28%

Draw

3.56

36%

SC Paderborn 07

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.72

1.35

SC Paderborn 07 xG

36%
28%
36%
1. FC NürnbergDrawSC Paderborn 07

2.75

36%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

26%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.87

25%

SC Paderborn 07

3.94

Win to Nil

9%

1. FC Nürnberg

10.65

9%

SC Paderborn 07

11.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.0 12.2 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.2 8.3 5.6 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.370
λ Away (xG) 1.353
Total xG 2.723
League avg home goals 1.455
League avg away goals 1.262
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.015
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.026
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 1.046
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 0.927
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63