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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

39%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.56

25%

Draw

3.96

36%

Karlsruher SC

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

3.53

1.72

Karlsruher SC xG

39%
25%
36%
1. FC NürnbergDrawKarlsruher SC

2.56

39%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.36

Clean Sheet

18%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.61

16%

Karlsruher SC

6.10

Win to Nil

7%

1. FC Nürnberg

14.34

6%

Karlsruher SC

17.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.0 4.3 2.5 1.1 0.4
1 5.3 9.1 7.9 4.5 1.9 0.7
2 4.8 8.2 7.1 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 2.9 5.0 4.3 2.5 1.1 0.4
4 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.808
λ Away (xG) 1.724
Total xG 3.532
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.470
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.123
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.053
Karlsruher SC attack strength 1.113
Karlsruher SC defence strength 1.090
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51