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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

31%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.27

30%

Draw

3.35

40%

Holstein Kiel

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

2.10

1.14

Holstein Kiel xG

31%
30%
40%
1. FC NürnbergDrawHolstein Kiel

3.27

31%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

32%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.11

38%

Holstein Kiel

2.62

Win to Nil

10%

1. FC Nürnberg

10.17

15%

Holstein Kiel

6.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 13.9 7.9 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 13.4 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.7 6.4 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.962
λ Away (xG) 1.136
Total xG 2.098
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.483
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.772
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.000
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.766
Holstein Kiel defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 8