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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

12:00

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

55%

1. FC Nürnberg

1.82

24%

Draw

4.16

21%

Dynamo Dresden

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

3.14

1.17

Dynamo Dresden xG

55%
24%
21%
1. FC NürnbergDrawDynamo Dresden

1.82

55%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

31%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.21

14%

Dynamo Dresden

7.20

Win to Nil

17%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.83

3%

Dynamo Dresden

34.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.6 10.0 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 5.6 6.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.974
λ Away (xG) 1.165
Total xG 3.139
League avg home goals 1.576
League avg away goals 1.306
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.124
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.912
Dynamo Dresden attack strength 0.978
Dynamo Dresden defence strength 1.114
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28