Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

44%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.27

23%

Draw

4.28

33%

Arminia Bielefeld

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

3.16

1.44

Arminia Bielefeld xG

44%
23%
33%
1. FC NürnbergDrawArminia Bielefeld

2.27

44%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

3.08

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

24%

1. FC Nürnberg

4.23

18%

Arminia Bielefeld

5.55

Win to Nil

10%

1. FC Nürnberg

9.60

6%

Arminia Bielefeld

17.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 6.1 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 7.3 10.5 7.6 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.0 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.6 5.1 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.713
λ Away (xG) 1.443
Total xG 3.156
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.327
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.882
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.018
Arminia Bielefeld attack strength 1.068
Arminia Bielefeld defence strength 1.364
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 12