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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

RheinEnergieSTADION

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

43%

1. FC Köln

2.33

26%

Draw

3.80

31%

Hertha BSC

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

2.99

1.36

Hertha BSC xG

43%
26%
31%
1. FC KölnDrawHertha BSC

2.33

43%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

26%

1. FC Köln

3.89

20%

Hertha BSC

5.11

Win to Nil

11%

1. FC Köln

9.09

6%

Hertha BSC

16.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.8 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.2 11.1 7.6 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.1 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.6 4.9 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.632
λ Away (xG) 1.359
Total xG 2.991
League avg home goals 1.462
League avg away goals 1.266
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.985
1. FC Köln defence strength 0.930
Hertha BSC attack strength 1.154
Hertha BSC defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 61